Julie with a B

Thursday, February 24, 2005
 
The dollar is falling....

It is time to be worried about the budget deficit. There are consequences to spending more than you bring in. The administration needs to wake up from it's "we can do anything we want to" stance.
Excerpts from Bloomberg:

" 'People are going to have to be paid more to hold the U.S. dollar,'' said Tony Norfield, head of currency strategy at ABN Amro Holding NV in London. ``It's not looking very attractive and that spread will have to widen.''

<> Against the euro, the dollar fell to $1.3250 at 10:18 a.m. in London, from $1.3216 in New York late yesterday, when it fell as low as $1.3274, the weakest since Jan. 12, according to electronic currency-trading system EBS. It was also at 104.93 yen, from 104.83. ABN forecasts the dollar will fall to a record $1.40 and to a decade-low 98 yen in six months."
.....

"China has kept its currency pegged to the dollar since 1995. Japan in the first quarter of last year sold a record amount of yen to help stem its appreciation. The countries' dollar purchases helped them become the two biggest foreign holders of marketable Treasury debt, according to the U.S. Treasury.

Policy makers from Japan, China, South Korea and Southeast Asian nations met in Thailand this week to discuss the dollar's slide, according to officials from China's central bank and the Thai finance ministry. The People's Bank of China sent a representative, Xu Bing, director of the bank's international department said today.

`Reason to Be Worried'

``They've got every reason to be worried,'' said Norfield at ABN Amro. ``The idea that they can all come together to save the dollar is pretty implausible but it does show the degree to which they are worried about the dollar decline.''

Japanese Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs Hiroshi Watanabe took part in the meeting, another vice minister, Koichi Hosokawa, said at a press conference in Tokyo today. Hosokawa said there had been no discussion of measures to stop the dollar's decline.

The U.S. currency dropped 34 percent against the euro and 22 percent versus the yen in the three years through 2004, as the current-account deficit widened to a record.

We simply cannot keep our heads in the sand this way.


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